Item 1A. Risk Factors
Item 1A. Risk Factors .
The risk factors in this Form 10-Q below should be carefully considered, including the risk factors discussed in “Risk Factors” and other risks discussed in our Form 10-K. These risks could materially and adversely affect our results, operations, outlooks, plans, goals, growth, reputation, cash flows, liquidity, and stock price. Our business also could be affected by risks that we are not presently aware of or that we currently consider immaterial to our operations.
COVID-19 and Liquidity/Debt Related Risk Factors
• COVID-19 has had, and is expected to continue to have, a significant impact on our financial condition and operations, which impacts our ability to obtain acceptable financing to fund resulting reductions in cash from operations. The current, and uncertain future, impact of the COVID-19 outbreak, including its effect on the ability or desire of people to travel (including on cruises), is expected to continue to impact our results, operations, outlooks, plans, goals, reputation, litigation, cash flows, liquidity, and stock price.
The COVID-19 global pandemic is having material negative impacts on all aspects of our business. We implemented a pause of our guest cruise operations in mid-March 2020 across all brands. As of May 31, 2021, five of our ships were operating with guests onboard as part of our phased return to service. We have been, and will continue to be negatively impacted by travel bans and advisories, and evolving, conflicting and complex restrictions, recommendations and regulations set by various governmental authorities. These restrictions, recommendations and regulations have and may continue to impact our ability to operate our business in an optimal manner.
As we continue to resume guest cruise operations, we expect to incur incremental spend relating to bringing our ships out of pause status, returning crew members to our ships and implementing enhanced health and safety protocols. The industry is subject to and may be further subject to enhanced health and hygiene requirements in attempts to counteract future outbreaks, and these requirements may be costly, take a significant amount of time to implement across our global cruise operations, and may result in disruptions in guest cruise operations, incremental costs and loss of revenue.
We intend to make vaccines available to all of our crew but there can be no assurances that we will be able to source sufficient vaccines for our global crew. In addition, although vaccines have proven to be effective in mitigating this risks of continued spread of COVID-19, there is no guarantee that the vaccines will continue to be effective against future variants.
Due to the outbreak of COVID-19 on some of our ships, and the resulting illness and loss of life in certain instances, we have been the subject of negative publicity, which could have a long term impact on the appeal of our brands, which would diminish demand for vacations on our vessels. We cannot predict how long the negative impact of media attention on our brands will last, or the level of investment that will be required to address the concerns of potential travelers through marketing and pricing actions.
We have received, and may continue to receive, lawsuits, other governmental investigations and other actions stemming from COVID-19. We cannot predict the quantum or outcome of any such proceedings, some of which could result in the imposition of civil and criminal penalties in the future, and the impact that they will have on our financial results, but any such impact may be material. We also remain subject to extensive, complex, and closely monitored obligations under the court-ordered environmental compliance plan supervised by the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of Florida, as a result of the previously disclosed settlement agreement relating to the violation of probation conditions for a plea agreement entered into by Princess Cruises and the U.S. Department of Justice in 2016. We remain fully committed to satisfying those obligations.
We have insurance coverage for certain liabilities, costs and expenses related to COVID-19 through our participation in Protection and Indemnity (“P&I”) clubs, including coverage for direct and incremental costs including, but not limited to, certain quarantine expenses and for certain liabilities to passengers and crew. P&I clubs are mutual indemnity associations
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owned by members. There is a $10 million deductible per occurrence (meaning per outbreak on a particular ship). We cannot provide assurance that we will receive insurance proceeds that will compensate us fully for our liabilities, costs and expenses that exceed the $10 million deductible under these policies. We have no insurance coverage for loss of revenues or earnings from our ships or other operations.
In connection with our capacity optimization strategy, we have accelerated the removal of ships from our fleet which were previously expected to be sold over the ensuing years. We have sold, expect to sell or have agreements for the disposal of various vessels. Some of these agreements for the disposal of vessels have been for recycling. When we choose to dispose of a ship, there can be no assurance that there will be a viable buyer to purchase it at a price that exceeds our net book value, which could result in ship impairment charges and losses on ship disposals.
The effects of COVID-19 on the operations of shipyards where our ships are under construction have resulted in delays in ship deliveries.
We cannot predict the timing of our complete return to service at historical occupancy and pricing levels and when various ports will reopen to our ships. If our phased resumption of guest cruise operations is delayed or there are future pauses or disruptions in the resumption of guest cruise operations, it could further negatively impact our liquidity. As our business is seasonal, the impact of such a delay or future pause in the resumption of guest cruise operations will be heightened if such delay or future pause occurs during the Northern Hemisphere summer months. Moreover, even as travel advisories and restrictions are lifted, demand for cruises may be impacted for a significant length of time and we cannot predict if and when each brand will return to pre-outbreak demand or fare pricing. In particular, our bookings may be negatively impacted by the adverse changes in the perceived or actual economic climate, including higher unemployment rates, declines in income levels and loss of personal wealth resulting from the impact of COVID-19. In addition, we cannot predict the impact COVID-19 will have on our partners, such as travel agencies, suppliers and other vendors, counterparties and joint ventures. We may be adversely impacted as a result of the adverse impact our partners, counterparties and joint ventures suffer.
We have never previously experienced a complete cessation of our guest cruise operations, and as a consequence, our ability to be predictive regarding the impact of such a cessation on our brands and future prospects is uncertain. In particular, we cannot predict the impact on our financial performance and cash flows (including as required for cash refunds of deposits) as a result of the phased resumptions in our guest cruise operations and the public’s concern regarding the health and safety of travel, especially by cruise ship, and related decreases in demand for travel and cruising. Moreover, our ability to attract and retain guests and our ability to hire and the amounts we must pay our crew depends, in part, upon the perception and reputation of our company and our brands and the public’s concerns regarding the health and safety of travel generally, as well as regarding the cruising industry and our ships specifically. In addition, our ability to re-hire crew may be negatively impacted as some have obtained alternative employment during the pause.
Our access to and cost of financing depends on, among other things, global economic conditions, conditions in the global financing markets, the availability of sufficient amounts of financing, our prospects and our credit ratings. As a result of COVID-19's effects on our operations, Moody's and S&P Global downgraded our credit ratings to be non-investment grade. If our credit ratings were to be further downgraded, or general market conditions were to ascribe higher risk to our rating levels, our industry, or us, our access to capital and the cost of any debt or equity financing will be further negatively impacted. In addition, the terms of future debt agreements could include more restrictive covenants, or require incremental collateral, which may further restrict our business operations or be unavailable due to our covenant restrictions then in effect. There is no guarantee that debt or equity financings will be available in the future to fund our obligations, or that they will be available on terms consistent with our expectations. Additionally, the impact of COVID-19 on the financial markets may adversely impact our ability to raise funds.
In addition, the COVID-19 outbreak has significantly increased economic and demand uncertainty. The effects of COVID-19 have caused a global recession, which could have a further adverse impact on our financial condition and operations. In past recessions, demand for our cruise vacations has been significantly negatively impacted which has resulted in lower occupancy rates and adverse pricing, with a corresponding increase in the use of credits and other means to attract travelers. As a result of the impact of COVID-19, we expect lower occupancy levels during our resumption of guest cruise operations and cannot predict when we will be able to achieve historical occupancy levels.
The extent of the effects of the outbreak on our business and the cruising industry at large is highly uncertain and will ultimately depend on future developments, including, but not limited to, the duration and severity of the outbreak, the length of time it takes for demand and pricing to return and normal economic and operating conditions to resume. To the extent COVID-19 adversely affects our business, operations, financial condition and operating results, it may also have the effect of heightening many other risks.
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• As a result of the COVID-19 outbreak, we may be out of compliance with one or more maintenance covenants in certain of our debt facilities, with the next testing date of November 30, 2022.
Under the terms of certain of our export credit facilities, we are required to comply with the Interest Coverage Covenant of not less than 3.0 to 1.0, and ensure that our Debt to Capital Covenant does not exceed 65% at the end of each fiscal quarter. During the first quarter of 2021 (and while being in compliance with the Debt to Capital Covenant as of such date), we obtained waivers of compliance with the Interest Coverage Covenant and Debt to Capital Covenant in our export credit facilities through August 31, 2022 (with the next testing date of November 30, 2022) or November 30, 2022 (with the next testing date of February 28, 2023) for our funded export credit facilities with aggregate indebtedness of $8.8 billion as of May 31, 2021 and unfunded export credit facilities with an aggregate principal amount of $6.5 billion as of May 31, 2021.
During the first quarter of 2021 we entered into supplemental agreements with respect to our Revolving Credit Facility and many of our bank loans. Under our Revolving Credit Facility and many of our bank loans, we are now required to maintain the Interest Coverage Covenant from February 28, 2023, at a ratio of not less than 2.0 to 1.0 for the February 28, 2023 and May 31, 2023 testing dates, 2.5 to 1.0 for the August 31, 2023 and November 30, 2023 testing dates, and 3.0 to 1.0 from the February 28, 2024 testing date onwards, or through their respective maturity dates, and the Debt to Capital Covenant at the end of each fiscal quarter before the November 30, 2021 testing date at a percentage not to exceed 65%. From the November 30, 2021 testing date until the May 31, 2023 testing date the Debt to Capital Covenant is not to exceed 75%, following which it will be tested at levels which decline ratably to 65% from the May 31, 2024 testing date onwards.
Even though we expect to obtain further amendments under our debt facilities with respect to the Interest Coverage Covenant or the Debt to Capital Covenant, if such amendments are not obtained we may be required to take certain actions, which in the case of the Debt to Capital Covenant could include issuing additional equity and/or reducing our indebtedness, failing which we may not be in compliance with the Interest Coverage Covenant or the Debt to Capital Covenant following August 31, 2022 with the next testing date of November 30, 2022 for such debt facilities, or as of future testing dates for certain agreements, because of the phased resumption of our guest cruise operations.
Amendments and waivers of the Interest Coverage Covenant and Debt to Capital Covenant have led and may continue to lead to increased costs, increased interest rates, additional restrictive covenants and other lender protections that are, or may become, applicable to us under these debt facilities, and such increased costs, restrictions and modifications may vary among debt facilities. For example, in connection with the amendments to the Revolving Credit Facility and certain agreements governing our bank loans described above, we have made certain changes to more closely align the financial covenants among the various facilities and agreements. In addition, we have agreed to additional restrictive covenants in such facilities and agreements with respect to debt incurrence, lien incurrence, restricted payments and investments that are substantially consistent with those contained in the indentures governing our recent unsecured notes issuances. In May and June 2021, the subsidiaries that guarantee our 2026 Senior Unsecured Notes and the 2027 Senior Unsecured Notes agreed to guarantee certain of our debt that was outstanding prior to April 2020, including our Revolving Credit Facility. These subsidiaries are expected to enter into additional agreements to guarantee additional debt under certain of our export credit facilities. Our ability to provide additional lender protections under these facilities, including the granting of security interests in certain collateral and the granting of guarantees with respect to certain outstanding debt, will be limited by the terms of such agreements as amended, and our other debt facilities.
There can be no assurance that we will be able to obtain amendments in a timely manner, on acceptable terms or at all. If we were not able to obtain the financial covenant amendments described above under any one or more of these debt facilities, we would be in default of any such agreement. As a consequence, we would need to refinance or repay the applicable debt facility or facilities, and would be required to raise additional debt or equity capital, or divest assets, to refinance or repay such facility or facilities. If we were to be unable to obtain financial covenant amendments as may be required under any one or more of these debt facilities, there can be no assurance that we would be able to raise sufficient debt or equity capital, or divest assets, to refinance or repay such facility or facilities. With respect to each of the unfunded debt facilities, if we were unable to obtain amendments under such debt facilities, the relevant lender under such facility could terminate that facility. With respect to each of our funded debt facilities, if we were unable to obtain amendments or refinance or repay such debt facilities, it would lead to an event of default under such facilities, which could lead to an acceleration of the indebtedness under such debt facilities. In turn, this would lead to an event of default and potential acceleration of amounts due under all of our outstanding debt and derivative contract payables. As a result, the failure to obtain the financial covenant amendments described above would have a material adverse effect.
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Item 6. Exhibits.
INDEX TO EXHIBITS
Incorporated by Reference Filed/
Furnished
Herewith
Exhibit
Number Exhibit Description Form Exhibit Filing
Date
Articles of incorporation and by-laws
3.1 Third Amended and Restated Articles of Incorporation of Carnival Corporation
8-K 3.1 4/17/2003
3.2 Third Amended and Restated By-Laws of Carnival Corporation
8-K 3.1 4/20/2009
3.3 Articles of Association of Carnival plc
8-K 3.3 4/20/2009
Material Contracts
10.1 Amendment of the Carnival Corporation 2020 Stock Plan
X
10.2 Amendment Agreement dated May 11, 2021 to the Multicurrency Revolving Facilities Agreement originally dated May 18, 2011, as amended and restated on August 6, 2019 and further amended on December 31, 2020, among Carnival Corporation, Carnival plc and certain of Carnival Corporation and Carnival plc subsidiaries, Bank of America Europe Designated Activity Company as facilities agent and a syndicate of financial institutions
X
Rule 13a-14(a)/15d-14(a) certifications
31.1 Certification of President and Chief Executive Officer of Carnival Corporation pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a), as adopted pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
X
31.2 Certification of Chief Financial Officer and Chief Accounting Officer of Carnival Corporation pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a), as adopted pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
X
31.3 Certification of President and Chief Executive Officer of Carnival plc pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a), as adopted pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
X
31.4 Certification of Chief Financial Officer and Chief Accounting Officer of Carnival plc pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a), as adopted pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
X
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INDEX TO EXHIBITS
Incorporated by Reference Filed/
Furnished
Herewith
Exhibit
Number Exhibit Description Form Exhibit Filing
Date
Section 1350 certifications
32.1* Certification of President and Chief Executive Officer of Carnival Corporation pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
X
32.2* Certification of Chief Financial Officer and Chief Accounting Officer of Carnival Corporation pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
X
32.3* Certification of President and Chief Executive Officer of Carnival plc pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
X
32.4* Certification of Chief Financial Officer and Chief Accounting Officer of Carnival plc pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
X
Interactive Data File
101 The consolidated financial statements from Carnival Corporation & plc’s joint Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended May 31, 2021, as filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on June 28, 2021, formatted in Inline XBRL, are as follows:
(i) the Consolidated Statements of Income (Loss) for the three and six months ended May 31, 2021 and 2020;
X
(ii) the Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income (Loss) for the three and six months ended May 31, 2021 and 2020;
X
(iii) the Consolidated Balance Sheets at May 31, 2021 and November 30, 2020;
X
(iv) the Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows for the six months ended May 31, 2021 and 2020;
X
(v) the Consolidated Statements of Shareholders’ Equity for the three and six months ended May 31, 2021 and 2020;
X
(vi) the notes to the consolidated financial statements, tagged in summary and detail. X
104 The cover page from Carnival Corporation & plc’s joint Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended May 31, 2021, as filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on June 28, 2021, formatted in Inline XBRL (included as Exhibit 101)
* These items are furnished and not filed.
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SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, each of the registrants has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.
CARNIVAL CORPORATION CARNIVAL PLC
By: /s/ Arnold W. Donald By: /s/ Arnold W. Donald
Arnold W. Donald Arnold W. Donald
President and Chief Executive Officer President and Chief Executive Officer
By: /s/ David Bernstein By: /s/ David Bernstein
David Bernstein David Bernstein
Chief Financial Officer and Chief Accounting Officer Chief Financial Officer and Chief Accounting Officer
Date: June 28, 2021 Date: June 28, 2021
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Text extracted from the filing as submitted to EDGAR. Formatting, tables and exhibits are simplified for reading; the original document is authoritative for anything you rely on.