Dilution profile // every instrument, one screen, from SEC filings

Xilio Therapeutics, Inc. (XLO)

CIK 1840233 · all EDGAR filings →

Overall dilution risk
HIGHworst of 3 computed signals (offering ability)
= the worst band among the computed sub-ratings, no hidden weighting
not every sub-rating was computable; treat as a floor
Offering ability
HIGH$250M registered
= total registered offering amount from the fee exhibits of live registrations (bands: $1M / $20M)
one or more live registrations had no structured fee data, so the true total is AT LEAST this
Overhead supply
NOT COMPUTEDno warrant count tagged in XBRL
= warrant shares outstanding divided by current shares outstanding
absence of a tag is not proof of absence of warrants
Historical dilution
LOW-79% O/S in 3y
= share count now vs 3 years ago (bands: 30% / 100%); a reverse split pushes this negative
a reverse-split-sized cliff is in this window; read the chart
Cash need
LOW~327 months of runway
= cash vs trailing operating burn (bands: 6mo / 24mo; positive operating CF = low)
the company itself flagged going-concern doubt

Same rating bands the category standard uses, but free, with the formula on the chip and the gaps in the data said out loud.

Shares outstanding over time

2021-11-252026-03-18

Latest: 5.8M shares as of Mar 18, 2026 (10-K). Share count fell from 52.5M to 5.8M between Nov 11, 2025 and Mar 18, 2026, a pattern consistent with a reverse split (roughly 1-for-9); simultaneous issuance can skew the raw ratio, so confirm in the filings. The red bar marks the cliff.

Cash runway

Going-concern warning

auditor flagged substantial doubt

The company itself flagged going-concern doubt in a filing.

Full breakdown: cash runway tool · source filing →

Warrants

TrancheWarrantsExercise priceTermNotes
Warrant Prefunded Warrants13.1M$0.0014FV $5.1M
Series C Warrants4.8M$10.5
Prefunded Warrants4.8M$0.0014
Seriesa Warrants4.8M$10.5
Series B Warrants4.8Mnot tagged
Common Stock1.0Mnot tagged

Tranches exactly as the company dimensioned them in its 10-Q filed Aug 12, 2026. Groupings can overlap (a “Series E and F” row is not additive with a “Series E” row), so do not sum this column. A tranche the filer did not tag is absent here, not absent from the cap table. DOWN-ROUND = the filer tagged price-protection accounting scoped to that tranche.

Balance-sheet fair value of warrants: $30.2M as of Jun 30, 2026.

Convertible notes

No convertible-note facts tagged in the 10-Q filed Aug 12, 2026. If convertible notes exist, their terms live in exhibit prose for this filer and are not parsed; absence of a tag is not proof of absence. The exhibits are the ground truth.

Fully diluted build-up

Shares outstanding plus every potential-share instrument the filer tagged in XBRL, each at its own as-of date. An estimate assembled from filed figures, not a filing figure itself.

Shares outstanding5.8MMar 18, 2026
+ Warrant Prefunded Warrants (if exercised)13.1MJun 30, 2026
+ Series C Warrants (if exercised)4.8MJun 30, 2026
+ Prefunded Warrants (if exercised)4.8MJun 30, 2026
+ Seriesa Warrants (if exercised)4.8MJun 30, 2026
+ Series B Warrants (if exercised)4.8MJun 30, 2026
+ Common Stock (if exercised)1.0MDec 31, 2025
Fully diluted estimate38.9M+573.6% vs O/S

Still excluded, because the filer does not tag them in countable form: employee options and RSUs, any instrument living only in exhibit prose, and instruments above missing a share count. Inputs carry different as-of dates, shown per row. Each figure traces to the tranche and note tables above and their cited filings.

Registrations and offerings

Registered offering capacity on live registrations: $250.0Mfrom the structured fee exhibits; registered is not remaining, takedowns are not subtracted

S-3May 12, 2026$250.0M registeredfiling →
S-3Mar 11, 2025no structured fee exhibit in this filing (predates fee-data XBRL or fee deferred)filing →
S-3Apr 30, 2024no structured fee exhibit in this filing (predates fee-data XBRL or fee deferred)filing →

Last 12 months: 2 executed · 2 registered.

EFFECTIVEMay 29, 2026SEC declared a registration effective — selling can beginEFFECT
REGISTEREDMay 27, 2026S-3/A registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-3/A
REGISTEREDMay 12, 2026S-3 registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-3
EXECUTEDFeb 12, 2026Shelf takedown priced — shares or notes (small-caps: usually shares; open the filing to confirm)424B5
EXECUTEDFeb 11, 2026Shelf takedown priced — shares or notes (small-caps: usually shares; open the filing to confirm)424B5
EXECUTEDJun 3, 2025Shelf takedown priced — shares or notes (small-caps: usually shares; open the filing to confirm)424B5
EXECUTEDJun 2, 2025Shelf takedown priced — shares or notes (small-caps: usually shares; open the filing to confirm)424B5
EFFECTIVEMay 8, 2025SEC declared a registration effective — selling can beginEFFECT
REGISTEREDMay 6, 2025S-3/A registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-3/A
EXECUTEDMar 11, 2025Shelf takedown priced — shares or notes (small-caps: usually shares; open the filing to confirm)424B5
REGISTEREDMar 11, 2025S-3 registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-3
EXECUTEDFeb 12, 2025Unregistered share sale disclosed (8-K item 3.02)8-K

Full history and shelf status: offering checker · S-3 shelf checker

Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts and filing metadata, fetched live and cached briefly. Share counts are cover-page figures with their form named. Warrant tranches and convertible notes come from the dimensioned facts in the latest 10-Q/10-K instance document, exactly as the company tagged them; untagged tranches and notes are absent, not disproven. Nothing on this page is manually verified and nothing is behind a login: what free data supports is shown, what it cannot support is stated. Not investment advice.

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