What changed in this filing

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Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis

2025-07-24 compared with 2025-04-29 · 88 added, 60 removed, 120 unchanged (55% of the section changed)

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Pureit, a leading water purification business in South Asia, offers a broad range of residential water purification solutions.

Pureit contributed $12 million to sales in the first quarter of 2025 and is expected to have annual sales of approximately USD $50 million for the full year 2025.

Pureit contributed $28 million to sales in the first half of 2025 and is expected to have sales of approximately USD $50 million for the full year 2025.

The acquisition fits squarely in our core capabilities and doubles our market penetration in the South Asia region.

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The remaining $6.3 million related to the restructuring of our water treatment business in North America as a part of a profitability improvement strategy that prioritizes improving our cost structure and emphasizes our more profitable channels.

In our North America segment, we saw lower water heater volumes in the first quarter of 2025 against a difficult comparison in the same period last year.

We believe that a pre-buy ahead of our March 2024 price increase pulled forward some demand into the first quarter of 2024.

In our North America segment, we saw lower water heater volumes in the first half of 2025 against a difficult comparison in the same period last year.

We believe that a pre-buy ahead of our March 2024 price increase pulled forward some demand into the first half of 2024.

In 2025, while we believe we benefited from some pre-tariff and price increase pull ahead, we actively worked with our customers to limit the impact to help enable greater operational efficiencies, a key 2025 company initiative.

2024 residential industry unit volumes were flat compared to the prior year and we project 2025 industry residential unit volumes will be flat as well.

We anticipate that commercial water heater industry volumes will also be approximately flat in 2025 after minimal growth in 2024.

In response to higher steel and other input costs, including tariffs, we announced price increases on most of our water heater and boiler products.

We expect our boiler sales to grow between three and five percent in 2025 compared to 2024 as we continue to benefit from the transition to higher efficiency boilers.

In response to higher steel and other input costs, including tariffs, we announced price increases on most of our water heater and boiler products in the first half of 2025.

In addition to pricing, we intend to mitigate the impact of tariffs through footprint optimization, strategic sourcing actions and other cost containment initiatives.

We expect our boiler sales to grow between four and six percent in 2025 compared to 2024 as we continue to benefit from the transition to higher efficiency boilers.

We anticipate sales of our North America water treatment products will be between $235 million and $245 million, a year-over-year decrease of approximately five percent as we de-emphasize certain channels and focus on our more profitable channels.

In our Rest of World segment, our first quarter 2025 third-party sales in China declined four percent due to continued weak consumer demand.

In 2025, we project our third-party sales in China to decrease between five to eight percent in local currency compared to 2024 as we expect consumer demand softness will persist in 2025.

Combining all of these factors, we expect our 2025 consolidated sales to be approximately flat to up two percent compared to 2024.

Given the uncertainty of the tariff environment, our guidance does not include our announced pricing which we project will offset, along with other actions, the current announced tariffs through the date of this filing.

In addition to pricing, our other actions include footprint optimization, strategic sourcing actions and other cost containment initiatives.

Our guidance also excludes the impacts from potential future acquisitions.

In our Rest of World segment, China sales declined eight percent in the first half of 2025 due to continued weak consumer demand.

For the full year 2025, we project our third-party sales in China to decrease between five to eight percent in local currency compared to 2024 as we expect economic challenges will persist in 2025.

We are initiating an assessment of strategic opportunities for our China business, including strategic partnerships and other alternatives.

We believe the China market has substantial long-term prospects and are committed to realizing the potential upside inherent in our China business.

Combining all of these factors, we expect our 2025 consolidated sales to increase between one to three percent compared to 2024.

Our guidance excludes the impacts from potential future acquisitions and any potential outcomes of the assessment of the China business.

Results of Operations

(dollars in millions) Three Months Ended

June 30, Six Months Ended

2025 2024 2025 2024

Net sales $ 1,011.3 $ 1,024.3 $ 1,975.2 $ 2,003.1

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Net Earnings $ 152.2 $ 156.2 $ 288.8 $ 303.8

Our sales in the first quarter of 2025 were $963.9 million, and lower than the first quarter of 2024 sales of $978.8 million.

Compared to the prior year quarter, our net sales decrease was primarily driven by lower residential and commercial water heater volumes in North America, lower sales in China, and an unfavorable currency translation of approximately $7 million due to the depreciation of foreign currencies compared to the U.S.

dollar, which more than offset our higher sales of boilers and incremental sales related to the 2024 acquisition of Pureit that added approximately $12 million in the first quarter.

Our gross profit margin in the first quarter of 2025 was 38.9 percent, down compared to 39.3 percent in the first quarter of 2024.

The decrease in gross profit margin was primarily due to lower sales volumes.

Selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses in the first quarter of 2025 were essentially flat compared to the first quarter of 2024.

Interest expense in the first quarter of 2025 was $2.9 million compared to $1.0 million in the same period last year.

The increase in interest expense in the first quarter of 2025 was primarily due to higher debt levels.

Other income, net was $1.2 million in the first quarter of 2025 and flat to the first quarter of 2024.

Our effective income tax rate for the three months ended March 31, 2025 was 24.6 percent.

The effective income tax rate for the three months ended March 31, 2024 was 23.4 percent.

The change in the effective income tax rate for the three months ended March 31, 2025 compared to the prior year quarter was primarily due to a change in geographical earnings mix.

Our sales in the second quarter of 2025 were $1,011.3 million, and lower than the second quarter of 2024 sales of $1,024.3 million.

Sales in the first six months of 2025 were $1,975.2 million, and lower than sales of $2,003.1 million in the same period last year.

Compared to the prior year quarter, our net sales decrease was primarily driven by lower residential water heater volumes in North America, and lower sales in China, which more than offset our higher sales of boilers and incremental sales related to the 2024 acquisition of Pureit which added approximately $16 million in the second quarter.

Our net sales decrease in the first six months of 2025 was primarily driven by lower residential water heater volumes in North America, lower sales in China, and unfavorable currency translation of approximately $8 million due to the depreciation of foreign currencies compared to the U.S.

dollar, which more than offset our higher sales of boilers and incremental sales related to the 2024 acquisition of Pureit which added approximately $28 million in the first six months of 2025.

Our gross profit margin in the second quarter of 2025 was 39.3 percent, up compared to 38.7 percent in the second quarter of 2024.

Gross profit margin in the first six months of 2025 was 39.1 percent essentially flat compared to the gross profit margin of 39.0 percent in the first six months of 2024.

The increase in gross profit margin in the second quarter was primarily driven by mix benefits toward more profitable channels in water treatment.

Selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses in the second quarter of 2025 increased $2.8 million compared to the second quarter of 2024.

SG&A expenses increased $3.2 million in the first six months of 2025 compared to the prior year.

The increase in SG&A expenses in the second quarter and first six months of 2025 compared to the prior year periods was primarily due to higher employee costs from management incentives and higher selling expenses to support our sales initiatives.

Interest expense in the second quarter of 2025 was $4.6 million compared to $1.8 million in the same period last year.

Interest expense in the first six months of 2025 was $7.5 million compared to $2.8 million in the same period the previous year.

The increase in interest expense in the second quarter and first six months of 2025 was primarily due to higher debt levels.

Other income, net was $0.4 million in the second quarter of 2025 compared to $0.9 million in the second quarter of 2024.

Other income, net was $1.6 million in the first six months of 2025 compared to $2.1 million in the same period last year.

The decrease in Other income, net in the second quarter and first six months of 2025 was primarily due to lower interest income.

Our effective income tax rate for the three and six months ended June 30, 2025 was 24.5 percent.

The effective income tax rate for the three and six months ended June 30, 2024 was 24.4 percent and 23.9 percent, respectively.

The change in the effective income tax rate for the three and six months ended June 30, 2025 compared to the effective income tax rate for the three and six months ended June 30, 2024 was primarily due to the geographical earnings mix.

We estimate that our annual effective income tax rate for the full year of 2025 will be approximately 24 to 24.5 percent.

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(dollars in millions) Three Months Ended

June 30, Six Months Ended

2025 2024 2025 2024

Net Sales $ 779.0 $ 790.7 $ 1,527.7 $ 1,557.0

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Segment margin 25.4 % 25.1 % 25.1 % 25.5 %

Sales in our North America segment were $748.7 million in the first quarter of 2025, or $17.6 million lower than sales of $766.3 million in the first quarter of 2024.

Compared to the prior year quarter, our net sales decrease was driven by lower residential and commercial water heater volumes, which more than offset our higher boiler sales.

North America segment earnings were $185.2 million in the first quarter of 2025, or $13.5 million lower than segment earnings of $198.7 million in the first quarter of 2024.

Segment margins were 24.7 percent and 25.9 percent in the first quarter of 2025 and 2024, respectively.

Lower segment earnings and margin in the first quarter of 2025 compared to the prior year quarter were primarily due to lower water heater volumes, lower volume-related absorption, and continued strategic investments, which were partially offset by higher boiler volumes.

Sales in our North America segment were $779.0 million in the second quarter of 2025, a decrease of $11.7 million from $790.7 million in the second quarter of 2024.

Sales in the first six months of 2025 were $1,527.7 million, or $29.3 million lower than sales of $1,557.0 million in the same period last year.

Compared to the prior year quarter, our net sales decrease was primarily driven by lower residential water heater volumes and partially offset by favorable pricing actions and higher boiler sales.

Our net sales decrease in the first six months of 2025 was driven by lower residential water heater volumes and an unfavorable currency translation of approximately $6 million which more than offset our favorable pricing actions and higher boiler sales.

North America segment earnings were $198.1 million in the second quarter of 2025, or $0.3 million lower than segment earnings of $198.4 million in the second quarter of 2024.

Segment earnings in the first six months of 2025 were $383.3 million, a decrease of $13.8 million compared to segment earnings of $397.1 million in the first six months of 2024.

Segment margins were 25.4 percent and 25.1 percent in the second quarter of 2025 and 2024, respectively.

Segment margins were 25.1 percent and 25.5 percent in the first six months of 2025 and 2024, respectively.

Lower segment earnings in the second quarter of 2025 compared to the prior year quarter were primarily due to lower water heater volumes that were partially offset by higher boiler sales.

Higher segment margin in the second quarter of 2025 compared to the prior year quarter were primarily driven by mix benefits toward more profitable channels in water treatment as well as growth in high efficiency water heaters.

Lower segment earnings and margin in the first six months of 2025 compared to the prior year were primarily due to lower water heater volumes, lower volume-related absorption, and continued strategic investments, which were partially offset by favorable pricing actions and higher boiler volumes.

We estimate our 2025 North America segment margin will be approximately 24 to 24.5 percent.

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(dollars in millions) Three Months Ended

June 30, Six Months Ended

2025 2024 2025 2024

Net Sales $ 240.1 $ 244.8 $ 466.8 $ 471.7

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Segment margin 10.5 % 10.6 % 9.6 % 9.1 %

Sales in the Rest of World segment were $226.7 million in the first quarter of 2025, essentially flat to sales of $226.9 million in the first quarter of 2024.

Compared to the prior year quarter, essentially flat sales were primarily due to lower volumes of our residential water treatment and gas water heater products in China and unfavorable currency translation of approximately $3 million that fully offset incremental sales related to our 2024 acquisition of Pureit that added approximately $12 million in net sales.

Rest of World segment earnings were $19.7 million in the first quarter of 2025, or $2.5 million higher compared to $17.2 million in the first quarter of 2024.

Segment margins were 8.7 percent and 7.6 percent in the first quarter of 2025 and 2024, respectively.

The higher segment earnings and segment margin in 2025 compared to last year were primarily driven by cost controlling measures and benefits from our Q4 2024 restructuring actions which more than offset lower volumes in China.

Sales in the Rest of World segment were $240.1 million in the second quarter of 2025, compared to $244.8 million in the second quarter of 2024.

Sales in the first six months of 2025 were $466.8 million, or $4.9 million lower than sales of $471.7 million in the same period last year.

Compared to the prior year quarter, the decrease in sales was primarily due to lower volumes of our residential water treatment and water heater products in China that were partially offset by incremental sales related to our 2024 acquisition of Pureit which added approximately $16 million in net sales.

Our net sales decrease in the first six months of 2025 was due to lower volumes of our residential water treatment and water heater products in China that were partially offset by incremental sales related to our 2024 acquisition of Pureit which added approximately $28 million in net sales.

Rest of World segment earnings were $25.3 million in the second quarter of 2025, or $0.6 million lower compared to $25.9 million in the second quarter of 2024.

Segment earnings in the first six months of 2025 were $45.0 million, an increase of $1.9 million compared to segment earnings of $43.1 million in the first six months of 2024.

Segment margins were 10.5 percent and 10.6 percent in the second quarter of 2025 and 2024, respectively.

Segment margins were 9.6 percent and 9.1 percent in the first six months of 2025 and 2024, respectively.

The lower segment earnings and segment margin in the second quarter of 2025 compared to the prior quarter were primarily driven by lower volumes in China, which were partially offset by cost reduction actions.

The higher segment earnings and segment margin in the first six months of 2025 compared to the prior year were primarily driven by cost reduction actions and benefits from our fourth quarter of 2024 restructuring actions which more than

offset lower volumes in China.

We estimate our 2025 Rest of World segment margin will be approximately eight to nine percent.

We expect our consolidated sales in 2025 to be approximately flat to up two percent compared to 2024.

Our projection is driven by expected flat industry residential and commercial volumes in North America.

We expect our consolidated sales in 2025 to increase between one and three percent compared to 2024.

Our projection is driven by expected boiler sales growth of between four and six percent and flat industry residential and commercial volumes in North America in 2025 compared to 2024.

In our Rest of the World segment, after a challenging 2024, we expect consumer demand softness will persist in 2025 in China and a decline in third-party sales.

We expect full-year earnings of between $3.60 and $3.90 per share.

In addition to pricing, our other actions include footprint optimization, strategic sourcing actions and other cost containment initiatives.

Our guidance also excludes the impacts from potential future acquisitions.

We intend to mitigate the impact of tariffs through pricing actions, footprint optimization, strategic sourcing actions and other cost containment initiatives We expect full-year earnings of between $3.70 and $3.90 per share.

Our guidance excludes the impacts from potential future acquisitions and any potential outcomes of the assessment of the China business.

Liquidity & Capital Resources

Our working capital was $540.0 million at March 31, 2025, compared with $495.7 million at December 31, 2024.

The increase in working capital was primarily related to higher receivable balances, lower accounts payable and lower payroll-related accruals and was partially offset by lower cash balances.

As of March 31, 2025, cash balances were positively impacted by $0.6 million due to changes in foreign currency during the quarter.

Our working capital was $545.5 million at June 30, 2025, compared with $495.7 million at December 31, 2024.

The increase in working capital was primarily related to higher receivable balances and lower accounts payable and partially offset by lower cash balances.

As of June 30, 2025, cash balances were positively impacted by $2.9 million due to changes in foreign currency during the quarter.

Cash and cash equivalents used to fund our operations are primarily generated through operating activities and our existing credit facilities.

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We have historically made and anticipate future cash repatriations from certain foreign subsidiaries.

(dollars in millions) Three Months Ended

In the first six months of 2025, we repatriated approximately $72 million of cash from our foreign subsidiaries and used the proceeds to pay down outstanding debt balances.

(dollars in millions) Six Months Ended

Cash provided by operating activities $ 178.3 $ 164.0

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Cash used in financing activities (241.1) (223.7)

Cash provided by operations in the first three months of 2025 was $38.7 million and lower than $106.6 million in the first three months of 2024, primarily due to lower accounts receivable collections which resulted from lower prior quarter sales as well as lower current quarter earnings.

Our free cash flow in the first quarter of 2025 and 2024 was $17.4 million and $84.6 million, respectively.

Cash provided by operations in the first six months of 2025 was $178.3 million and higher than $164.0 million in the first six months of 2024, primarily due to lower cash outlays for working capital needs in 2025 that were partially offset by lower current year earnings.

Our free cash flow in the first six months of 2025 and 2024 was $139.9 million and $119.1 million, respectively.

We expect cash provided by operating activities to be between $600 million and $625 million in 2025.

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Free cash flow is a non-GAAP measure described in more detail in the Non-GAAP Measures section below.

Capital expenditures totaled $21.3 million in the first three months of 2025 compared with $22.0 million in the same period last year.

We project 2025 capital expenditures will be between $90 million and $100 million and full-year depreciation and amortization expense will be approximately $80 million.

Capital expenditures totaled $38.4 million in the first six months of 2025 compared with $44.9 million in the same period last year.

We project that 2025 capital expenditures will be between $90 million and $100 million and full-year depreciation and amortization expense will be approximately $80 million.

In 2024, we renewed and amended our $500 million revolving credit facility ("renewed facility") which now expires on August 23, 2029.

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Borrowing rates under the renewed facility are determined by our leverage ratio.

The renewed facility requires us to maintain two financial covenants, a leverage ratio test and an interest coverage test, and we were in compliance with the covenants as of March 31, 2025, and expect to be in compliance for the foreseeable future.

The renewed facility requires us to maintain two financial covenants, a leverage ratio test and an interest coverage test, and we were in compliance with the covenants as of June 30, 2025, and expect to be in compliance for the foreseeable future.

The renewed facility backs up commercial paper and credit line borrowings.

At March 31, 2025, we had $113.3 million of borrowings outstanding under the renewed facility and an available borrowing capacity of $386.7 million.

At June 30, 2025, we had $145.0 million of borrowings outstanding under the renewed facility and an available borrowing capacity of $355.0 million.

We believe the combination of available borrowing capacity and operating cash flows will provide sufficient funds to finance our existing operations for the foreseeable future.

Our total debt increased by $76.6 million in the first three months of 2025 as we used available cash to fund our stock repurchase program.

Our leverage, as measured by the ratio of total debt to total capitalization, was 12.7 percent at March 31, 2025, compared with 9.3 percent at December 31, 2024.

Our total debt increased by $110.2 million in the first six months of 2025 as we used available cash to fund our stock repurchase program.

Our leverage, as measured by the ratio of total debt to total capitalization, was 14.1 percent at June 30, 2025, compared with 9.3 percent at December 31, 2024.

In the first quarter of 2025, our Board of Directors approved adding 5,000,000 shares of common stock to the existing discretionary share repurchase authority.

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The stock repurchase authorization remains effective until terminated by our Board of Directors which may occur at any time, subject to the parameters of any Rule 10b5-1 automatic trading plan that we may then have in effect.

In the first quarter of 2025, we repurchased 1,794,694 shares at an average price of $67.19 per share and at a total cost of $120.6 million.

As of March 31, 2025, there were 4,951,431 shares remaining on the existing repurchase authorization.

During the first six months of 2025, we repurchased 3,786,073 shares at an average price of $66.37 per share and at a total cost of $251.3 million.

June 30, 2025, there were 2,960,052 shares remaining on the existing repurchase authorization.

Depending on factors such as stock price, working capital requirements, and alternative investment opportunities, we expect to spend approximately $400 million on stock repurchases in 2025 through a combination of any Rule 10b5-1 automatic trading plan and open market repurchases.

On April 7, 2025, our Board of Directors declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.34 per share on our Common Stock and Class A common stock.

The dividend is payable on May 15, 2025, to shareholders of record on April 30, 2025.

On July 7, 2025, our Board of Directors declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.34 per share on our Common Stock and Class A common stock.

The dividend is payable on August 15, 2025, to shareholders of record on July 31, 2025.

Non-GAAP Financial Information

We provide non-GAAP measures of free cash flow.

We define free cash flow as cash provided by operating activities less capital expenditures.

We believe that free cash flow provides useful additional information concerning cash flow available to meet future debt service obligations and working capital requirements.

We provide non-GAAP measures of free cash flow and adjusted EPS.

We define free cash flow as cash provided by operating activities less capital expenditures, while adjusted EPS excludes the impact of restructuring and impairment expenses.

We believe that free cash flow provides useful additional information concerning cash flow available to meet future debt service obligations and working capital requirements and the measure of adjusted EPS provides useful information to investors about our performance and allows management and our investors to better understand our performance between periods without regard to items that we do not consider to be a component of our core operating performance or recurring in nature.

SMITH CORPORATION

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The following is a reconciliation of reported cash flow from operating activities to free cash flow (non-GAAP):

Three Months Ended

Six Months Ended

Cash provided by operating activities (GAAP) $ 178.3 $ 164.0

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The critical accounting policies that we believe could have the most significant effect on our reported results or require complex judgment by management are contained in Item 7, Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations, of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2024.

We believe that at March 31, 2025, there was no material change to this information.

We believe that at June 30, 2025, there was no material change to this information.

Recent Accounting Pronouncements

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the availability, timing or effects of China stimulus programs;

uncertain outcomes and costs and other potential impacts of the Company's assessment relating to the Company's China business;

potential weakening in the high-efficiency gas boiler segment in the U.S.;

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Compared sentence by sentence after normalising whitespace, quotation marks, case and digits, so re-formatting and restated figures do not read as changed language. Wording changes appear as one removal and one addition. The current filing and the prior one are authoritative.

What changed 10-Q

Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis