Useong Shin · 2026-07-02
The author introduces a diagnostic tool that checks whether factor models (like Fama-French, Carhart, and the q5 model) correctly price stocks along the market-capitalization rank dimension, not just whether they maximize the risk-return frontier. Applying it to US stock data from 1967-2024, the paper finds that different models leave different pricing errors along the cap axis, and that this cap-axis error is a distinct property from a model's Sharpe improvement or its size exposure.
Why it matters: Practitioners who rely on standard factor models for attribution, hedging, or risk decomposition may care because a model can look good on standard metrics yet still misprice stocks systematically by size rank. The diagnostic offers a way to spot such hidden mispricing, though it is a measurement tool rather than a trading signal.
⚠ This is an academic diagnostic tool tested in-sample on historical CRSP data, not a validated trading strategy or live-tested signal.
I propose a cap-axis integral diagnostic for factor-model evaluation. Low-dimensional factor models can improve the maximum-Sharpe frontier while leaving zero-alpha violations on economically fixed subspaces. The diagnostic studies one such subspace by lifting pricing errors into a bridge-alpha curve along the market-capitalization rank axis. Under an aggregate-market gate, a zero curve is equivalent to pricing the market's internal cap-rank subspace. In 1967-2024 CRSP data, q5's daily negative bridge attenuates under lead-lag correction, while Fama-French and Carhart bridges are more visible monthly. Across 154 factors, the cap-axis norm is distinct from Sharpe gain and size exposure.
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AI summary generated from the paper’s public abstract via arXiv; it may miss nuance — read the source before relying on it. Thank you to arXiv for its open-access interoperability; StockTools is not affiliated with arXiv, and all rights remain with the authors. Educational only, not financial advice.